The host invites you to pick a door, any door. Let’s say you pick door one. The host throws open one of the doors you did not select, revealing a goat. Then the host gives you the option of switching ...

This is the second in a three-part series. See the first post here. Likelihood Neglect Bias and the New Monty Hall Problem In the first post of this series, I introduced a new cognitive bias—called ...